مدل رشـد جمعیت کرم گلــوگاه انار Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) در شـرایط صحرایی

نوع مقاله : مقاله کامل، فارسی

نویسندگان

1 گروه گیاه‌پزشکی پردیس کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران

2 موسسه تحقیقات گیاه‌پزشکی کشور، سازمان تحقیقات، آموزش و ترویج کشاورزی، تهران، ایران.

3 موسسه بیوشیمی بیوفیزیک، دانشکده علوم مهندسی، دانشگاه تهران، ایران

چکیده

کرم گلوگاه Ectomyelois ceratoniae مهمترین آفت انار در ایران است که دارای چند نسل هم پوشان در سال می­ باشد. در این مقاله به کارگیری مدل مکانیستیکی برای توصیف تأثیر کنترل بر اندازه جمعیت کل کرم گلوگاه انار مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است. راه حل تحلیلی مدل مکانیستیکی به صورت تابع چگالی احتمال لجستیک توسط Matis et al. (2006) ارایه شده است. تابع چگالی احتمال لجستیک به خوبی با داده­ های کرم گلوگاه انار برای باغ شاهد و تیمار برازش یافت (r2=0.91 & 0.95). پراسنجه ­های مدل عبارتند از، پیش­بینی اندازه اوج جمعیت (Nmax)، پیش­ بینی زمان اوج جمعیت (tmax) و تقریب نرخ سرانه تولد و مرگ که همه آن­ها از نظر کاربردی اهمیت دارند. به طور کلی، این مقاله کاربرد تجزیه و تحلیل داده­ های جمعیت کرم گلوگاه انار با استفاده از مدل­ های مکانیستیکی و پراسنجه­ های آن­ها را نشان می­ دهد.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Population growth model of the carob moth, Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) under field conditions

نویسندگان [English]

  • Kobra Fotouhi 1
  • Seyed Hosein Goldansaz 1
  • M. Amir-Maafi 2
  • V. Hosseininaveh 1
  • Ali Masoudi-Nejad 3
1 Department of Plant Protection, College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran
2 Iranian Research Institute of Plant Protection, Agricultural Research, Education and Extension Organization (AREEO), Tehran, Iran.
3 Institute of Biochemistry and Biophysics, School of Engineering Sience, University of Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

The carob moth, Ectomyelois ceratoniae Zeller, is the most important pest on   pomegranate fruits and has several overlapping generations per year in Iran. This paper investigated the use of a mechanistic model for describing the effect of the control strategy on the size of the total population of the carob moth. The analytical solution of mechanistic model was written in the form of a logistic probability density function by Matis et al. (2006). The logistic probability density function fits this carob moth data very well for control and treatment fields (r2=0.91 and 0.95). The parameters of the model are the predicted peak size, Nmax, the predicted time of peak, tmax, and an approximate per capita birth and death rate, all of which are important in practical application. In general, this paper demonstrates the utility of analyzing carob moth population data using mechanistic models and their underlying rate parameters.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Carob moth
  • Population dynamics
  • Pomegranate garden
Barkhordar, B. (2006) Investigation of behavioral responses of adult Carob moth, Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Lep.: Pyralidae), to Ferula assafoetida (Apiaceae) essential oil. M.Sc. Dissertation, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran.
Barlow, N. D. & Dixon, A. F. G. (1980) Simulation of Lime Aphid Population Dynamics. Center for Agricultural Publishing and Documentation, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Goldansaz, S. H., Talaei, L., Poorjavad, N. & Dehghani, H. (2012) Inhibition of carob moth damage using Ferula assafoetida essential oil in pomegranate orchards of Iran. 2th International Symposium on the Pomegranate 103, 129–131.
Hummelbrunner, L. A. & Isman, M. B. (2001) Acute, sublethal, antifeedant, and synergistic effects of monoterpenoid essential oil compounds on tobacco cutworm Spodoptera litura (Lep., Noctuidae). Journal of Agricultural and Food Chemistry 49 (2), 715–720.
Isman, M. B. (2000) Plant essential oils for pest and disease management. Crop Protection19, 603–608.
Kamelshahi, G., Goldansaz, S. H. & Hosseininaveh, V. (2011) Ferula assafoetida essential oil disrupts some reproductive behaviour of the carob moth, Ectomyelois ceratoniae under field and laboratory conditions. The 6th Asia-Pacific Conference on Chemical Ecology, Beijing, China, p 87.
Kindlmann, P. (1985) A model of aphid population with age structure. pp. 72-77. In Capasso,V., Grosso, E., Paveri-Fontana, S. L. (Eds.), Mathematics in Biology and Medicine. Proceedings, Bari, 1983, Lecture Notes in Biomathematics. Springer, Berlin,
Kishani Farahani, H., Goldansaz, S. H. & Sabahi, Q. (2012) A survey on the overwintering larval parasitoids of Ectomyelois ceratoniae in three regions in Iran. Crop Protection 36, 52-57.
Matis, J. H., Kiffe, T. R., Renshaw, E. & Hassan, J. (2003) A simple saddlepoint approximation for the equilibrium distribution of the stochastic logistic model of population growth. Ecological Modelling 161(3), 239-248.
Matis, J. H. & Kiffe, T. R. (2004) On stochastic logistic population growth models with immigration and multiple births. Theoretical Population Biology 65(1), 89-104.
Matis, J. H., Kiffe, T. R., Matis, T. I. & Stevenson, D.E. (2006) Application of population growth models based on cumulative size to pecan aphids. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics 11(4), 425-449.
Matis, J. H., Kiffe, T. R., Matis, T. I., Jackman, J. A. & Singh, H. (2007a) Population size models based on cumulative size, with application to aphids. Ecological Modelling 205, 81-92.
Matis, J. H., Kiffe, T. R., Matis, T. I., & Stevenson, D. E. (2007b) Stochastic modeling of aphid population growth with nonlinear, power-law dynamics. Mathematical biosciences, 208(2), 469-494.
Matis, J. H., Kiffe, T. R., Matis, T. I., Jackman, J. A., Grant, W. E. & Singh, H. (2008) On the use of growth rate parameters for projecting population sizes: Application to aphids. Ecological Modelling 213, 133-142.
Matis, J. H., Kiffe, T. R., van der Werf, W., Costamagna, A. C., Matis, T. I. & Grant, W. E. (2009) Population dynamics models based on cumulative density dependent feedback: A link to the logistic growth curve and a test for symmetry using aphid data. Ecological Modelling 220 (15), 1745–1751.
Matis, J. H. & Al-Muhammed, M. J. (2010) Theory and application of the logistic probability density function as a population growth model. Damascus University Journal for Basics Science 26(1), 9–19.
Matis, J. H. & Kiffe, T. R. (2012) Stochastic population models: A compartmental perspective. Lecture Notes in Statistics, Vol. 145. Springer-Verlag, New York, 202 pp.
Mirhashemi, H., Poorjavad, N. & Goldansaz, S. H. (2016). Seasonal fluctuations in oviposition of carob moth, Ectomyelois ceratoniae, and its parasitism by Trichogramma wasps in Isfahan. In: Proceedings of 22nd Iranian Plant Protection Congress, 27-30 August, (pp. 647). College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, IRAN.
Nerio, L. S., Olivero-Verbel, J. & Stashenko, E. (2010) Repellent activity of essential oils: a review. Bioresource Technology 101, 372–378.
Pavela, R. (2008) Acute and synergistic effects of some monoterpenoid essential oil compounds on the house fly (Musca domestica L.). Journal of Essential Oil Bearing Plants 11, 451–459.
Pavela, R., Vrchotova, N. & Triska, J. (2009) Mosquitocidal activities of thyme oils (Thymus vulgaris L.) against Culex quinquefasciatus (Diptera: Culicidae). Parasitology Research 105 (5), 1365–1370.
Pavela, R. (2011) Insecticidal and repellent activity of selected essential oils against of the pollen beetle, Meligethes aeneus (Fabricius) adults. Industrial Crops and Products 34, 888-892.
Peyrovi, M. (2009) A study on repellency effect of F. assafoetida essential oil, on adult carob moth, Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Lep.: Pyralidae), and some other insects, under natural conditions. M.Sc. Thesis, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran.
Prajneshu, C. S. (1998) A nonlinear statistical model for aphid population growth. Journal of the Indian Society of Agricultural Statistics 51, 73-80.
Ranjbar, M., Sendi, J. J. & Zibaee, A. (2011) Proteolytic activity in the midgut of Ectomyelois ceratoniae Zeller (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae), pomegranate carob moth. ISJ-Invertebrate Survival Journal 8, 132–142.
Renshaw, E. (1991) Modelling biological populations in space and time. Cambridge University Press, New York, USA, 403 pp.
Saadat, D. (2012) Effect of biotic and abiotic factors on biological and behavioural characteristic of Habrobracon hebetor Say (Hym: Braconidae) as carob moth parasitoidin laboratory conditions and efficacy of the wasp in semi natural conditions. M.Sc. Dissertation, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Iran.
Shakeri, M. (2004) A review on investigations on pomegranate neck worm in Iran, pp. 18–30. In: A proceeding on evaluation of finding and current problems associated with Spectrobates ceratoniae management in pomegranate. Ministry of Jihad-e-Agricultrue, Organization of Research and Education, Yazd Agriculture and Natural Resources Research Center, Iran.
Soufbaf, M., Salehi, B., Kalantarian, N., Zanganeh, A. H., Fathollahi, H., Babaei, M. & Ahari Mostafavi, H. (2017) Is sterile insect technique’s efficiency affected by pomegranate variety in mixed cultivars? New insights from a case study on the carob moth, Apomyelois ceratoniae Zeller (Lepidoptera: Pyralidae) in Iran. Oriental Insects 52, 1–11.
Turchin, P. (2003) Complex population Dynamics: A Theoretical/Empirical Synthesis. Princeton University Press, New Jersey, USA, 472 pp.
Warner, R. L., Barnes, M. M., Laird, E. F. & Lanham, M. D. (1990) Chemical control of carob moth, Ectomyelois ceratoniae (Lepidoptera.: Pyralidae), and various nitidulid beetles (Coleoptera) on ‘Deglet Noor’ dates in California. Journal of Economic Entomology 83, 2357–2361.
Zabka, M., Pavela, R. & Slezakova, L. (2009) Antifungal effect of Pimenta dioica essential oil against dangerous pathogenic and toxinogenic fungi. Industrial Crops and Products 30 (2), 250–253.